Instructive-Populist
0x99b8f05cd9ca5ed44875f6b11d36780d541de353
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$19.26
Total PnL
$-1.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
2 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Feb 11, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?$1.00Feb 5, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 28, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.00Jan 22, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Dec 25, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Dec 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.00Dec 10, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$1.00Nov 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$1.00Nov 20, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Nov 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?$1.00Oct 29, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Oct 22, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 15, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?$1.35Oct 9, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho$2.00Oct 9, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?$1.00Oct 9, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?$1.00Sep 24, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.00Sep 11, 12:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".