Calculating-Island
0x99f0563d918b53dd8bedbcf1709af042c051649f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$267.67
Realised
$245.36
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
459 shares @ 87.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$429.44
$26.47
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
346 shares @ 51.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$172.80
$-4.60
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
250 shares @ 60.4¢·now 64.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.47
$9.46
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
334 shares @ 32.7¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$128.55
$19.38
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
95 shares @ 75.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$83.20
$11.70
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
176 shares @ 68.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$80.85
$-38.62
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.62
$3.95
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
80 shares @ 70.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.99
$12.97
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
92 shares @ 67.3¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$61.68
$-0.33
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
238 shares @ 13.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.02
$23.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.93May 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.93May 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.72May 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.69May 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.78May 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.78May 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.83May 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$9.83May 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$9.80May 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$10.27May 18, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.33May 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6.86May 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.37May 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.67May 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$12.00May 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.21May 18, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.75May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.75May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.75May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.75May 18, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".