Insignificant-Peony-Fertilizer
0x99f3ff7b96b54cfad33d3e8c38f511963a6b87eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.1K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
9239 shares @ 78.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.9K
$1.7K
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
1135 shares @ 88.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.1K
$61.23
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1765 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$295.59
$-4.41
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1796 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$295.51
$-4.49
- YES
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?
420 shares @ 71.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$275.10
$-24.90
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
270 shares @ 63.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$165.95
$-4.05
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$108.70
$8.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$172.52May 30, 05:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?$100.00May 29, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$307.50May 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$307.47May 29, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?$303.43May 29, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00May 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00May 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00May 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00May 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00May 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00May 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$50.51May 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$142.05May 29, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.0KMay 28, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$1000.00May 28, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$50.03May 27, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1000.00May 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1000.00May 27, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$50.49May 27, 19:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $302.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 05:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".