Careful-Speakerphone
0x99f8f3daee2ac6c94a7747f5713ab0fd03dcf962
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$16.24
Total PnL
$-4.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
2 shares @ 50.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
2 shares @ 52.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Golden - Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Jan 27, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Jan 27, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?$1.00Jan 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Jan 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Jan 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Schwartz be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach?$1.00Jan 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.00Jan 27, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,960 on the final trading day of January 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 27, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$1.00Jan 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$1.00Jan 27, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$1.00Jan 27, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$1.00Jan 27, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 27, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$1.00Nov 6, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.17Nov 6, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.