Political-Estimate
0x9a0ec6838a982284e7098792bd90454e6075f499
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$312.87
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
28 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$27.56
$9.37
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?
27 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$26.92
$18.57
- NO
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$23.73
$14.00
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
23 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.33
$14.93
- UNDER
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
21 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$21.43
$13.07
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
17 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$17.07
$13.49
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
16 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.82
$11.39
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.53
$5.73
- NO
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.92
$4.52
- NO
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$12.19
$2.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$1.07Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?$2.42Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.53Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$2.70Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 1?$2.77Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on March 29?$2.85Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?$2.90Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 1?$3.02Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles Thieves win DreamHack Major 2?$3.27Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.39Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 29?$3.39Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.48Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$3.52Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.83Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.89Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 29?$4.07Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$4.29Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$4.40Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$4.52Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 29?$4.59Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.