Unkempt-Wick
0x9a4c7cad8769f2cc2c53101abd51a683546a5ff7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$86.18
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-13.89
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1311 shares @ 33.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.25
$-354.75
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 17.6¢·now 51.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$0.61
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14840 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
14500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9192 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-89.99
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6683 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-137.98
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6458 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$20.98Jul 19, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$24.59Jul 19, 11:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?$20.96Jul 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$10.49Jul 18, 13:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$20.99Jul 17, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?$18.86Jul 17, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39.89Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$6.30Jul 17, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$20.97Jul 17, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$20.96Jul 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$15.73Jul 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$15.73Jul 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$15.74Jul 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87.14Jul 17, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $24.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.