Understated-Eyeglasses
0x9a518fab3cbe191a236806c9b43f59f1d536bf4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$99.92
Win rate
1%
161 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
178 shares @ 74.7¢·now 81.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$145.28
$12.53
- UNDER
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
198 shares @ 56.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$124.05
$12.90
- YES
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
111 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$102.12
$11.10
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev
167 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.8¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$94.77
$-2.09
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?
91 shares @ 91.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$84.94
$2.14
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
88 shares @ 87.4¢·now 93.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$81.60
$5.04
- FUT ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
118 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$78.31
$0.59
- NO
Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?
73 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$69.72
$0.36
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
66 shares @ 92.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$66.23
$4.85
- NO
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
66 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$64.29
$10.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$5.11Aug 18, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner$59.22Aug 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?$7.74Aug 18, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$4.97Aug 18, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5.46Aug 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner$4.81Aug 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIcelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?$7.98Aug 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians$24.06Aug 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton$22.14Aug 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5$45.73Aug 18, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner$9.35Aug 18, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$14.81Aug 18, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group$10.43Aug 18, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs$7.48Aug 18, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Xiyu Wang vs Elina Svitolina$22.00Aug 18, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: SU Esports vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner$8.86Aug 18, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuebec City: Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Daniel$238.57Aug 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner$13.50Aug 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?$4.89Aug 18, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci$5.09Aug 18, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
63/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 161 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
161 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $19.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 161 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.