Watery-Polliwog
0x9a8aacf40bbd227d09c4e84a90f18d63c752505c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$46.04
Total PnL
$-4.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
29 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$29.04
$-0.06
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥50.0% on December 31?
232 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
174 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$29.115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$3.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$2.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.008d ago
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 in April?$1.718d ago
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.20 in April?$2.218d ago
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$2.228d ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.518d ago
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?$3.528d ago
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?$3.618d ago
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.718d ago
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$3.918d ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in April?$20.098d ago
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.7114d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in April?$19.9015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.7017d ago
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?$2.1017d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 49d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
