Affectionate-Disk
0x9bb6739b95b46d4f3da47cd6183a54a37664d678
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$59.20
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-61.52
Win rate
38%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
53 shares @ 75.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$53.00
$13.00
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.20
$1.20
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3523 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4PM ET
805 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-269.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
598 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-18.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET
550 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10AM ET
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
341 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-227.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8AM ET
304 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6PM ET
277 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-98.89
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.66Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.44Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.76Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.39Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.47May 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.93May 28, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12PM ET$15.00Apr 23, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$30.00Apr 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$30.00Apr 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$74.80Apr 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$35.00Apr 22, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$30.00Apr 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$67.76Apr 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$138.29Apr 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$135.23Apr 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.55Apr 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$7.09Apr 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$7.80Apr 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.15Apr 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$12.47Apr 15, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $30.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".