Mindless-Elm
0x9bf8d80f65c89faaf7146c8949b3667092f6c7af
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$20.77
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
595 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$595.00
$107.10
- YES
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
540 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$540.00
$129.60
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
400 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$400.00
$120.40
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
238 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$232.53
$49.27
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
258 shares @ 52.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$194.79
$60.63
- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
54 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.76
$-0.08
- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
65 shares @ 79.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$34.45
$-16.90
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
19 shares @ 38.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.97
$2.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.74
$-11.39
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
4 shares @ 33.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.48
$2.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?$786.48Apr 27, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?$18.27Apr 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$438.77Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$522.43Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$7.92Apr 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$410.40Apr 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$882.09Apr 23, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?$832.50Apr 23, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.16Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$3.00Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$13.00Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$137.00Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$275.00Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$676.00Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$220.22Apr 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$234.85Apr 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$13.28Apr 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$21.22Apr 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$18.99Apr 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$18.84Apr 11, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $225.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.