0x9c37825dd844c0536c52eb51a49746ce5a4aadf5
0x9c37825dd844c0536c52eb51a49746ce5a4aadf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$27.03
Total PnL
$-200.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 60.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$16.44
$6.44
- NO
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$10.59
$3.59
- NO
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
52 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
38 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
31 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Filippo Boscagli win the 2026 Lecco mayoral election?
23 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- NO
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
22 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?
18 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$8.05Jul 2, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?$11.24Jun 18, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$11.90Jun 17, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$6.56Jun 17, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?$10.04Jun 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$13.56Jun 17, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$8.60Jun 16, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$6.59Jun 16, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$10.34Jun 16, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$8.79Jun 16, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$6.10Jun 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$7.00Jun 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.82Jun 15, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?$9.88Jun 14, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$7.41Jun 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$11.00Jun 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12.00Jun 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$25.67Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$11.11Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$11.03Jun 13, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $10.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.