Gloomy-Spoon
0x9c88242a27f968b4d45053af9e8d792b30603171
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$6.84
Total PnL
$-224.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.42
$-6.58
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-5.50
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$7.58Jun 13, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$30.00Mar 16, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$15.66Mar 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.00Mar 16, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.25Mar 16, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.25Mar 16, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 16, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$7.56Feb 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?$6.92Feb 8, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 7, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$2.00Feb 7, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$3.00Feb 7, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$3.00Feb 7, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$50.00Feb 7, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$2.34Feb 3, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.47Feb 3, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$4.69Feb 3, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?$2.25Feb 3, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$1.00Feb 3, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$9.44Feb 3, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.