Vapid-Workshop
0x9ca119b8cd7bdb890aecf1ff3b0f6e3a45cc13b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$87.5K
Total PnL
$-50.1K
Realised
$8.3K
Win rate
63%
67 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
13315 shares @ 65.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.8K
$1.0K
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
8600 shares @ 84.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.4K
$178.08
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
6751 shares @ 87.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.3K
$423.01
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
9753 shares @ 76.8¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.2K
$-1.3K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
5800 shares @ 78.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$92.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
4666 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$141.08
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
4392 shares @ 88.8¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.3K
$367.34
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
4500 shares @ 78.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.1K
$532.51
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13549 shares @ 13.5¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.2K
$1.3K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
3223 shares @ 83.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$454.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.61Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$16.29Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$70.41Jun 13, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$412.88Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$87.84Jun 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$359.27Jun 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$119.69Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$16.51Jun 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$3.4KJun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$36.96Jun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$72.41Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$1.87Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$166.75Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$5.81Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$420.00Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$765.00Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$420.00Jun 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$345.00Jun 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$207.00Jun 13, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $413.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 67 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.