Shiny-Lie
0x9cb35555b913c805a62a2e34bce4ef14f0e81367
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$736.42
Win rate
93%
174 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$131.10
$-27.02
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
180 shares @ 84.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$112.57
$-38.69
- YES
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
120 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$107.40
$-3.00
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
85 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.24
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?
90 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$79.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June?
82 shares @ 96.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$76.84
$-1.64
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
180 shares @ 37.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$70.20
$3.60
- YES
Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
75 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$68.99
$0.60
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?
93 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$66.02
$-3.72
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
74 shares @ 94.7¢·now 82.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$60.59
$-9.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1.49Jun 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$5.33Jun 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13?$0.38Jun 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$3.26Jun 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$2.00Jun 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?$18.79Jun 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$10.37Jun 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?$24.30Jun 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1.10Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1.10Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1.10Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.2% in June?$0.15Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1.10Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.2% in June?$0.15Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14?$0.24Jun 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 14?$0.07Jun 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?$5.23Jun 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15?$0.04Jun 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?$7.36Jun 13, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 174 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.