Definitive-Addiction
0x9d305d08202d81629a602d7f52d59df20ccddcd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$677.11
Total PnL
$-367.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$111.33
$11.33
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
127 shares @ 78.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$110.49
$10.49
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$101.79
$1.79
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
91 shares @ 87.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$84.59
$4.59
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$78.85
$-21.15
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
162 shares @ 49.5¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.46
$-31.54
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.61
$1.61
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
159 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-90.85
- NO
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
120 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$100.00Jul 29, 06:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$75.67Jul 23, 07:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$214.83Jul 21, 05:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $97.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.