Velvety-Rutabaga
0x9ddfa4d5b954379a03d19f87df36b9820b862c83
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$3.1K
Realised
$3.2K
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3330 shares @ 81.1¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$12.92
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3344 shares @ 73.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-106.69
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2604 shares @ 31.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$768.04
$-42.32
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
702 shares @ 62.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$480.65
$45.42
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
655 shares @ 55.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$415.88
$54.55
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
252 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$184.90
$-1.26
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
300 shares @ 42.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$124.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 60.1¢·now 58.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$117.20
$-3.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1095 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.08
$-16.70
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
113 shares @ 60.1¢·now 61.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.95
$2.03
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.5338m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.0041m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.0141m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.0041m ago
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$120.2047m ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$9.0053m ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$186.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.142h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?$0.072h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?$0.152h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.242h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.082h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?$0.172h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?$0.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?$0.072h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 23, 2026?$0.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?$0.012h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $52.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3h ago
- Last active
- 38m ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".