Whole-Sum
0x9e02c363289bdaddca1648c5ca84c15262d3098c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$39.84
Total PnL
$-144.29
Realised
$-1.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
453 shares @ 11.9¢·now 8.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$39.84
$-14.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
1230 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-66.40
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
122 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$56.25Jul 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$10.50Jul 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$67.32Jul 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$0.14Jul 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$53.69Jul 19, 21:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$36.97Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$36.95Jul 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$40.39Jul 18, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.38Jul 18, 21:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42.25Jul 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.98Jul 15, 20:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $66.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.