Bright-Asterisk
0x9efb2b16c5e3dc746e376d77b14a3a7cadc3d189
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-511.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
307 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-178.17
- NO
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?
296 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
270 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-159.63
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
192 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-108.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$105.65Jul 12, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$65.00Jul 10, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$170.84Jul 10, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$110.00Jun 17, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$350.75Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$276.00May 27, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$170.44May 27, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMX Money released by April 30, 2026?$106.09May 27, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYX Money released by April 30, 2026?$68.99Apr 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$30.39Apr 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$172.12Mar 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$125.48Mar 9, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$120.00Mar 9, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$170.00Mar 9, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$180.00Mar 6, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?$691.01Mar 6, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?$321.10Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition$321.10Feb 28, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?$198.19Feb 28, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$108.99Feb 26, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $136.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.