Ethical-Recipient
0x9fa58d0e1f43de4c9d339b0abba166210ecb3bc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-939.72
Realised
$17.97
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
859 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-64.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
293 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?
292 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
288 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
247 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-126.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?
205 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
197 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
163 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.