Damp-Kickoff-Dump
0x9ff2cc6a3529b7a8baad7ecbe9a397e2f754d02b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$19.5K
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$33.22
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
11000 shares @ 90.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.0K
$-14.99
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
6775 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.6K
$94.74
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$165.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
1666 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$183.26
$-16.66
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
107 shares @ 35.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.48
$-6.97
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
15 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.57
$1.42
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
10230 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.90
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
7270 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - July 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
5500 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
3000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.24Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$212.24Jul 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$218.48Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$2.0KJul 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$635.28Jul 28, 10:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$1.37Jul 27, 13:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.45Jul 26, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$359.10Jul 25, 10:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.30Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$84.69Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$152.52Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$13.79Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$14.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$32.62Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.57Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $176.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.