Stimulating-Member
0xa003104410718156265ac9b81264272dfc8872d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.26
Total PnL
$-22.13
Realised
$3.99
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
13 shares @ 76.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.48
$0.48
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?
30 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?$1.02May 22, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$10.00May 22, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$1.07May 18, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$1.03May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$1.01May 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$1.04May 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.50May 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$0.79May 17, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2.00May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$0.44May 16, 23:20 UTC
- SPLITWill Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$1.00May 16, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.53May 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.10May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.64May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.85May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.70May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.84May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.23May 16, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".