0xa020e4bfc6345fadd38a3cf5f8d8e90f3e42462f
0xa020e4bfc6345fadd38a3cf5f8d8e90f3e42462f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$9.32
Total PnL
$-63.38
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.02
$0.52
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.39
$0.29
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.21
$0.11
- NO
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
1 shares @ 92.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.15
$0.05
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- NO
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.95
$-0.15
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.86
$-0.24
- NO
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.47
$-0.63
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.18
$-0.92
- DPLUS KIA CHALLENGERS
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner
6 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.17Jun 24, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner$1.81Jun 24, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner$1.12Jun 24, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?$1.22Jun 24, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?$1.12Jun 24, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Assist" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?$1.11Jun 24, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$1.12Jun 24, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?$1.44Jun 23, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1.70Jun 23, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1.12Jun 23, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.29Jun 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?$1.11Jun 23, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$0.83Jun 23, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$1.13Jun 23, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs$1.36Jun 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$1.12Jun 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs$1.12Jun 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$1.07Jun 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$1.13Jun 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$1.72Jun 23, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.