Well-Documented-Miter
0xa05c4526449dd5f5bd438cb6359448b19f5caa9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$7.6K
Total PnL
$264.75
Realised
$37.57
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.1K
$783.90
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
1100 shares @ 76.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$990.00
$147.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
1200 shares @ 55.9¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$936.00
$265.00
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
899 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$858.99
$94.84
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2641 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$524.24
$-795.46
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 77.5¢·now 73.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$294.98
$-15.00
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$282.79
$182.79
- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.10
$33.10
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 88.7¢·now 88.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.60
$0.20
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$200.00Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$52.95Jul 23, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$4.96Jul 23, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$2.98Jul 23, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3.29Jul 23, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3.49Jul 23, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$2.97Jul 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$13.97Jul 23, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$9.40Jul 23, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$177.40Jul 23, 08:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$178.00Jul 22, 22:44 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.5KJul 22, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$218.03Jul 22, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.68Jul 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.30Jul 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.97Jul 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.20Jul 22, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7.20Jul 22, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $66.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.