0xa06eb958465534385c810d27eb2798fdcc96d147
0xa06eb958465534385c810d27eb2798fdcc96d147
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.70
Total PnL
$-89.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.70
$0.10
- UNDER
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Brazil vs. Japan: Second half draw?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Leroy Sané: 1+ shots on target
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots on target
11 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: 1+ shots on target$10.00Jul 9, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$4.65Jul 7, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$5.32Jul 7, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.18Jul 7, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.93Jul 7, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5$5.14Jul 6, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ shots on target$7.21Jul 4, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ shots on target$1.04Jul 3, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ shots on target$1.98Jul 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ shots on target$3.77Jul 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?$10.19Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$2.52Jul 2, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?$0.00Jul 2, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMHarry Kane: 1+ shots on target$8.01Jul 1, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ shots on target$7.00Jul 1, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.82Jul 1, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target$7.58Jun 30, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?$5.13Jun 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target$7.05Jun 30, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeroy Sané: 1+ shots on target$10.10Jun 29, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.