Afraid-Granola
0xa0c119ccafd628c14b53bec19cc97aafdb309831
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.25
Total PnL
$-26.14
Realised
$-2.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.25
$0.25
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: February
25 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.52
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 1?
9 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
4 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.00Mar 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$4.02Feb 18, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$12.50Feb 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.11Feb 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.95Feb 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$8.58Feb 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Feb 3, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Feb 3, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.45Jan 8, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$1.04Jan 8, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$1.09Jan 8, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$1.22Jan 8, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.49Jan 8, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$1.19Dec 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Dec 12, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.14Dec 11, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)$1.75Dec 2, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?$1.00Dec 1, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)$1.00Dec 1, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 22:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".