Gorgeous-Sticker
0xa0c4e14d3d21f197e7d59b73c4ccafbf9815978f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$17.9K
Total PnL
$-24.4K
Realised
$4.7K
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
11610 shares @ 48.7¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.0K
$-671.35
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4444 shares @ 50.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$1.8K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
14032 shares @ 10.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.3K
$901.83
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6025 shares @ 24.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$-311.54
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
5555 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$-83.33
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3333 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$783.25
$-349.96
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
6666 shares @ 4.1¢·now 10.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$713.26
$439.95
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1148 shares @ 71.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$706.11
$-109.07
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1111 shares @ 50.2¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$661.04
$102.90
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5555 shares @ 5.3¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$474.94
$180.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.71Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.