Drafty-Native
0xa102b434ce441a3119e146f75ed6276ee1a836d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$251.5K
Total PnL
$47.93
Realised
$-123.52
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250339 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$212.5K
$87.4K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.8K
$-87.2K
- YES
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
1000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$187.00
$87.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.00
$-87.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?
7 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$7.00
$0.21
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?
7 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$7.00
$0.34
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 39.1¢·now 42.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.28
$0.37
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
3 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$3.00
$2.25
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 83.6¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.71
$0.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$23.21Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$22.29Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.71Jun 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.71Jun 12, 03:11 UTC
- YIELD$22.29Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$23.21Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$22.29Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$950.00Jun 9, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5$1.00Jun 9, 16:29 UTC
- SPLITAtlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5$1.00Jun 9, 16:29 UTC
- SPLITWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$200.00Jun 9, 15:33 UTC
- YIELD$22.29Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$22.29Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$1.00Jun 7, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$22.29Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$22.29Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$17.65Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$250.0KJun 4, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 30?$1.00Jun 4, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$253.9KJun 4, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $18.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.