Raw-Snowman
0xa11e15e263483ae7501548269d6141a3fafa1cf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$48.19
Total PnL
$-5.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$9.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$8.45
$-1.55
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
7 shares @ 90.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
3 shares @ 89.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 7, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$1.00Jun 7, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$10.05Jun 6, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$10.06Jun 6, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.01Jun 6, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00May 30, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.11May 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02May 19, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01May 19, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.03May 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.03May 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$2.00May 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.00May 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$2.01May 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$2.01May 19, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$1.45May 19, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.13May 19, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lens finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$10.06May 19, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$11.48May 19, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.