Belated-Trip
0xa12613639c164951c31484f0c85f365038939e20
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$0.44
Total PnL
$-945.89
Realised
$-144.32
Win rate
11%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 25.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
9 shares @ 34.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-2.81
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
14051 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on January 9?
498 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
474 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-84.92
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
260 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 10?
244 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5
217 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-109.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
190 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$3.66May 30, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?$0.63May 30, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$3.05May 30, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.64May 30, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLChina coup attempt before 2027?$0.34May 30, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.26May 30, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$14.53May 30, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$14.55May 30, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$3.70May 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$2.69May 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$6.63May 29, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?$6.25May 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?$1.04May 4, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 5?$1.04May 4, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 5?$1.05May 4, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 5?$1.04May 4, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.00May 4, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.56Apr 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.77Mar 3, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".