Piercing-Inflammation
0xa14796d9a703e6a3499c8c0b34f39282c0d7c2c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.45
Total PnL
$-2.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.27
$-0.73
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 75.7¢·now 73.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.74
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 27, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 27, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?$1.00Jan 27, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$1.58Jan 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$1.57Jan 27, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$1.00Jan 26, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jan 26, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$1.00Jan 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$2.00Jan 26, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jan 26, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?$1.00Jan 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?$1.00Jan 26, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00Jan 26, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$1.00Jan 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 26, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1PM ET$1.09Jan 26, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 26, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.