Stale-Millstone
0xa15b31079bba48d82b116d9ded8572b2b2bd200f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-30.02
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
954 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$954.00
$305.28
- NO
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
172 shares @ 40.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$171.98
$102.16
- YES
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
57 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$57.00
$5.13
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
302 shares @ 19.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.74
$-44.24
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
825 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-148.50
- NO
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?
770 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.20
- YES
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
762 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-83.82
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
757 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-289.17
- FENERBAHCE
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
613 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-287.50
- GRAND RAPIDS GRIFFINS
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
575 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-355.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$304.29Apr 21, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$158.70Apr 21, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls$345.50Apr 15, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$386.00Apr 15, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$397.00Apr 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$436.15Apr 14, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$129.20Apr 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$9.57Apr 12, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$305.37Apr 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$213.15Apr 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$33.00Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$19.57Apr 11, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$16.45Apr 11, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$30.03Apr 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$21.84Apr 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls$331.68Apr 11, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$19.57Apr 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$528.09Apr 10, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$129.20Apr 10, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$106.65Apr 9, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $186.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.