Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$122.50
Liquidity
$4.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $4.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6008.0h
- 19:57SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.
Biggest hourly move: +6.0pp at 1d ago (to 36¢).
Show all 23 hour-by-hour ticks
- 03:00 · +3.0pp → 33¢
- 00:00 · +4.5pp → 35¢
- 22:00 · +4.5pp → 35¢
- 20:00 · +3.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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