Grimy-Napkin
0xa18d6c0786e00a1480181e9253e3ad23ebf3f38c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$642.22
Total PnL
$-11.7K
Realised
$7.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
504 shares @ 83.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$345.50
$-74.14
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
606 shares @ 16.5¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.73
$2.73
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$94.30
$-5.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
5192 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
2418 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
1664 shares @ 93.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1428 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
1340 shares @ 89.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
756 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$106.60Jun 3, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.36Jun 3, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$16.60Jun 3, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$16.60Jun 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$11.72Jun 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$11.72Jun 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$16.60Jun 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$11.72Jun 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$8.30Jun 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.98Jun 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$100.64Jun 3, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$101.45Jun 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.39Jun 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$8.30Jun 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$737.71Jun 3, 13:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$298.81Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$295.27Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $99.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".