Valid-Vertigo
0xa194be52074da794a35b9ef4eb56de6c507879f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$732.24
Total PnL
$48.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
406 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$371.68
$6.18
- YES
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?
208 shares @ 63.4¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$172.22
$40.64
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.74
$7.74
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
21 shares @ 94.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
72 shares @ 13.8¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.76
$-0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$5.88Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.03Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5.07Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$15.15Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$20.03Jun 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$5.10Jun 12, 02:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$25.71Jun 11, 23:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$18.16Jun 10, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$17.78Jun 10, 13:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.04Jun 9, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $9.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.