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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?

Probability

64¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 64¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 14.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6008.0h

    LOW
  • 15:59Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6008h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at: https://app.artemisanalytics.com/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=deep_dives The value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart. A daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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