Political-Colonization
0xa1b7e83dcdf5aecdcb505a1fb967d6283b0981fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$62.19
Total PnL
$-14.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
7 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$6.95
$-0.05
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
6 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
7 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.00May 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.01May 14, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.01May 14, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.01May 14, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$6.01May 14, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.02May 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$6.01May 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$7.01May 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$6.03May 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$6.01May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$5.13May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$5.13May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$6.15May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$6.16May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$6.24May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$6.36May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$6.50May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$6.67May 14, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$7.78May 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$5.00Apr 28, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".