Impolite-Pasta
0xa1d82aa07258aac95b2a7f0893f740a37ef1a786
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$37.0K
Total PnL
$-99.9K
Realised
$-17.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
37470 shares @ 64.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.8K
$11.5K
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
2052 shares @ 72.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$-359.15
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
223 shares @ 48.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.03
$9.56
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
142265 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-91.8K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
4950 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
148 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.17
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 28, 17:50 UTC → May 28, 17:48 UTC
- BUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$8.4K@80¢May 28, 17:48 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
0 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$8.4K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$8.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.