Sudden-North
0xa1e635ae16050acbde8c2bba913cce4ff28630a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.0K
Realised
$-788.45
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
26855 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
18056 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
17042 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
15888 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.9K
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
10463 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.7K
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
8156 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-546.47
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
7500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-524.99
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
7027 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
6000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
5926 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$174.21Feb 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.7KFeb 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$844.21Feb 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5.01Feb 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$186.31Feb 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$116.76Feb 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$830.79Feb 17, 14:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Feb 14, 00:28 UTC
- REWARD$3.74Feb 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$167.11Feb 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$75.71Feb 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$144.38Feb 13, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.0KFeb 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.8KFeb 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$53.83Feb 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$2.6KFeb 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$175.93Feb 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$0.27Feb 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.18Feb 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.28Feb 13, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $353.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".