Scholarly-Level
0xa1eef31f383fef2d302f568dd99b29bdf5ed3b6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.50
Total PnL
$-5.04
Realised
$-3.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
22 shares @ 11.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 19?
26 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.41
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.26
$-0.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.04
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 19?$1.09May 17, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.20May 17, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$1.15May 17, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$1.15May 17, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?$1.10May 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$1.10May 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.03May 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 18?$1.10May 16, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$0.10May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$2.02May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.90May 16, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$1.90May 16, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$2.08May 16, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$2.10May 16, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$5.99May 15, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$3.08May 15, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$5.20May 13, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.37May 13, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.69May 12, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.63May 12, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 05:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".