Impressionable-Macadamia
0xa1efb227a6bea467980ec4cefdeb9eb296841faa
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$18.71
Total PnL
$-2.90
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- ABUS MAGOMEDOV
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- RAFAEL FIZIEV
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 23.7¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.69Jun 25, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$0.62Jun 25, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2.63Jun 25, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.04Jun 25, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$0.59Jun 25, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.05Jun 25, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$0.76Jun 25, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$1.04Jun 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.04Jun 25, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.07Jun 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.07Jun 25, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$1.06Jun 25, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 25, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $60 in June?$0.37Jun 25, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.05Jun 24, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$0.57Jun 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jun 24, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$1.05Jun 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 24, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$0.58Jun 24, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.