Plump-Mattress
0xa1f7fada874c6caeadbc15293975b3c283872d3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$172.62
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$3.12
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
284 shares @ 58.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$151.81
$-12.77
- OPENAI
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
154 shares @ 31.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.08
$-39.63
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$3.44
$1.08
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.10
$0.89
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.55
$0.41
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
113 shares @ 47.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$2.03
$-51.03
- NO
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.02
$0.36
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
69 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.38
$-12.78
- YES
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-0.57
- TEXAS RANGERS
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
735 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-352.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$7.58Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?$8.62Jun 10, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$7.74Jun 4, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.50Jun 4, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$4.00Jun 4, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$23.48Jun 4, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?$3.40Jun 3, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?$17.00Jun 3, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$13.44Jun 2, 19:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.85May 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$7.90May 30, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.70May 30, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$30.53May 30, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $25.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.