Innocent-Ostrich
0xa25f207625cf0a6df529f94f234791d7f7452772
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$176.22
Total PnL
$-95.57
Realised
$15.47
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
310 shares @ 14.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.76
$-4.82
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
357 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.61
$-3.39
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
498 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.64
$-1.24
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
140 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.86
$0.21
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
268 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.07
$-2.82
- YES
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
142 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.73
$-1.92
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 45.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$3.35
$-26.80
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
44 shares @ 5.7¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.20
$0.67
- NO
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?
300 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.65Jun 8, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.82Jun 8, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.54Jun 8, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.07Jun 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.22Jun 8, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$50.95Apr 9, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?$0.00Feb 28, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?$398.21Feb 28, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$43.00Feb 28, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$1.1KFeb 9, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$56.99Feb 6, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$1.1KFeb 6, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$0.00Feb 3, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?$0.72Feb 2, 15:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $89.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.