Real-Witch
0xa2df1f4bc36407a3b065d0ef961005689f0dc7dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$108.90
Total PnL
$-49.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
116 shares @ 17.2¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.69
$-3.31
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.97
$5.97
- NO
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
245 shares @ 2.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.67
$2.67
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
394 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.46
$2.26
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.62
$-1.38
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
53 shares @ 18.9¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.96
$-2.04
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.40
$2.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.11Jun 7, 15:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$5.00Jun 4, 14:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Yips" in June?$2.05Jun 1, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?$1.04Jun 1, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?$1.04Jun 1, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "CBS" on Truth Social this week?$1.04Jun 1, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week?$1.04Jun 1, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.