Low-Junior
0xa2fb77dde34ef67d20c2141f698e30eb2109ff75
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$79.48
Total PnL
$-23.65
Realised
$-5.30
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- ISRAEL
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
70 shares @ 71.2¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$35.14
$-14.86
- US
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
33 shares @ 49.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$16.49
$0.02
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
6 shares @ 88.7¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.28
$0.15
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.48
$-0.02
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.93
$-0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.02
$-0.07
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 81.1¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.85
$-1.15
- NO
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$0.05
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.54
$0.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 82.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?$0.047m ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.0126m ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.0532m ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.0354m ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.012h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.012h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.013h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.313h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.073h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$0.054h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$0.014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$0.014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$0.054h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$0.124h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.024h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.014h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$0.035h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?$1.445h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.175h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 7m ago
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".