Incomplete-Innocence
0xa356cbd599d109e8ec7da6ccb595a3bb963b5538
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$168.86
Total PnL
$-127.87
Realised
$-0.39
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 73.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$22.91
$17.91
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.45
$10.45
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.92
$9.92
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
19 shares @ 52.7¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.70
$2.70
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
66 shares @ 6.1¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.67
$4.67
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.85
$3.85
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 22.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.32
$2.32
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
9 shares @ 44.4¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.29
$3.29
- YES
Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.51
$2.51
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bo Nickal win by KO or TKO?$3.05Jun 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$3.07Jun 14, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$2.05Jun 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$2.05Jun 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?$2.04Jun 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?$1.02Jun 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.01Jun 14, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$2.05Jun 14, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Miami" during UFC 250?$1.03Jun 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?$3.08Jun 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.05Jun 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.03Jun 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$2.06Jun 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.23Jun 14, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.08Jun 14, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$3.08Jun 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$3.09Jun 14, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$2.33Jun 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$5.25Jun 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$10.00Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.