Quick-Witted-Cornerstone
0xa388458dcf91e336f77e5a726084918872c6d84e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-260.68
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
64086 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
55716 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-643.30
- YES
Trump out as President by May 31?
38942 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
21061 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-149.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
16455 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
9676 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-218.09
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
4366 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?
2862 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-168.32
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
2856 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
2562 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-89.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$89.12Jun 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$88.98Jun 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$19.40Jun 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$19.53Jun 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.61Jun 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$20.03Jun 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$35.78Jun 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$69.87Jun 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$15.52Jun 17, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$110.76Jun 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$0.65Jun 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.36Jun 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$176.39Jun 1, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$184.78Jun 1, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$85.52Jun 1, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$97.36May 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$17.99May 30, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$78.68May 30, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$150.55May 30, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$39.95May 30, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $45.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.