Instructive-Dot
0xa38eda31366071a1e92edb12178bfd2f4f28339c
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$83.74
Total PnL
$-31.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- 70K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
58 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
266 shares @ 5.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$16.88
$1.88
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
169 shares @ 6.5¢·now 7.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.44
$1.44
- YES
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
47 shares @ 21.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Ukraine" in Des Moines?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.95
$-4.05
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
723 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.78
$-2.98
- NO
Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.96
$-6.04
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Small Business Summit?
992 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "King" during Small Business Summit?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Small Business Summit?
279 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Small Business Summit?$2.087h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Security" during Small Business Summit?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Market" during Small Business Summit?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during Small Business Summit?$3.127h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "King" during Small Business Summit?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Made in America" during Small Business Summit?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Small Business Summit?$10.407h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Ukraine" in Des Moines?$10.237h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$31.047h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye tweet again by May 31?$10.264d ago
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$106.144d ago
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$8.7612d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$10.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$15.0012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$32.8512d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$11.0021d ago
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$11.1622d ago
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.0023d ago
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?$0.0023d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $15.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 45d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".