Impossible-Architecture
0xa3ad70cf48a2f2b44163e798223c01a2c2536866
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$332.0K
Realised
$674.5K
Win rate
100%
115 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
235862 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
235862 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
235337 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
235336 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
235334 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
235331 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
234275 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
233456 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
233230 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
232016 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jul 11, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jul 11, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jul 11, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.54Jul 11, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?$30.00Jul 4, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$2.99Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?$1.18Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?$1.41Jul 1, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?$1.03Jul 1, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?$2.15Jul 1, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$1.65Jul 1, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEM Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?$3.58Jul 1, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$2.28Jul 1, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.16Jul 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jul 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$2.90Jul 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?$1.05Jul 1, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMTheo James announced as next James Bond?$3.83Jul 1, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?$75.53Jul 1, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$71.47Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
70/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 115 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
115 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $274.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 115 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.