Alarming-Grand
0xa3d715bd6387f03833272e147bf57726921006f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$54.92
Total PnL
$6.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?
46 shares @ 92.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$44.83
$2.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?
73 shares @ 7.1¢·now 13.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.53
$4.34
- YES
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.56
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?$2.70May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?$2.48May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?$42.71May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.16May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$92.53May 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$92.06May 13, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$0.55May 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$56.82May 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$35.04May 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$91.96May 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$94.38May 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$6.81May 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$101.09May 12, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$88.36May 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$88.36May 11, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$73.57May 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$18.39May 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$91.39May 11, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.18May 10, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.76May 10, 22:03 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $48.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".