Harmless-Instrumentation
0xa3f8e1cde1c437665a50297401e466b00f8f05f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-412.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
17000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
9348 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
7651 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-57.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
1615 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-185.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
1102 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-46.55
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
586 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 11?
35 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.56
- DOWN
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- YES
Will "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.77Apr 22, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$15.00Apr 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.84Apr 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 20 - 26)$4.42Apr 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)$10.46Apr 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$10.10Apr 19, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$34.00Apr 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)$20.00Apr 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 20 - 26)$10.00Apr 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$10.00Apr 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.00Apr 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?$9.18Apr 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$33.30Apr 18, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on April 13?$21.32Apr 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on April 13?$5.00Apr 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYQQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?$5.00Apr 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13?$10.00Apr 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$38.44Apr 12, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $55.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".